Race 3A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Asher Green 8.2% 9.9% 11.4% 11.1% 11.9% 12.2% 10.6% 10.0% 8.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8%
Jack Welburn 33.1% 25.4% 16.6% 11.9% 6.2% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 16.7% 17.2% 16.1% 14.6% 12.0% 9.7% 7.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Iain Shand 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.7% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 11.8% 13.2% 9.2% 7.1% 1.8%
Robert Ziman 7.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.4% 12.8% 13.3% 12.8% 9.8% 7.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.8% 13.7% 16.4% 14.2% 12.6% 10.2% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Jonathan Kelly 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 5.1% 5.7% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 12.1% 15.7% 13.9% 12.4%
Can Dilikoglu 5.5% 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 11.8% 9.6% 7.0% 4.6% 1.6%
Pearce Bragaw 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 7.1% 9.2% 13.8% 21.2% 28.0%
Patrick Cashin 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.7% 7.6% 10.5% 13.0% 15.3% 16.8% 14.5%
Bryan Lawrence 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 8.6% 9.0% 11.8% 14.8% 14.2% 13.0% 8.6%
Luke Plecinoga 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.4% 5.3% 6.3% 8.6% 13.7% 19.7% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.