Race 6A

washington-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Welburn 31.6% 25.2% 16.4% 11.8% 8.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 16.0% 17.3% 17.4% 13.2% 13.6% 9.7% 6.7% 3.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 14.5% 15.7% 16.4% 14.4% 12.5% 10.8% 7.8% 4.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Jonathan Kelly 2.1% 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 8.8% 9.7% 13.2% 15.8% 15.0% 12.2%
Can Dilikoglu 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 12.3% 12.7% 10.8% 8.1% 4.9% 1.1%
Bryan Lawrence 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.9% 11.6% 12.2% 15.9% 12.8% 8.1%
Luke Plecinoga 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 7.3% 10.8% 12.8% 20.3% 29.8%
Robert Ziman 8.2% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8% 13.0% 12.3% 12.0% 10.2% 6.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Pearce Bragaw 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 5.4% 7.4% 11.1% 12.7% 18.8% 31.4%
Asher Green 8.2% 8.4% 9.9% 12.8% 11.6% 13.4% 11.7% 9.7% 7.1% 4.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Patrick Cashin 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.5% 7.0% 9.5% 13.1% 16.4% 17.1% 14.3%
Iain Shand 4.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.5% 10.2% 8.6% 6.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.