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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy1.22+14.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+4.63vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.57vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+0.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-0.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+0.53vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-2.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-6.33vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.89vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.59+2.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.07vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.74-0.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-8.98vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-4.83vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.65vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-8.23vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.23-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.04U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.63Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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3.67Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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14.37Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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13.65Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.02Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.17George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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16.35Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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17.07Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 21.2% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 23.8% | 30.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.