← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+2.83vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+7.37vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.68+7.19vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.52+2.93vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.78+1.22vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.52+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.49+0.10vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.22vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.16-0.84vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University3.36-2.59vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.59+3.08vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy1.22+3.44vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.74+0.32vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.78vs Predicted
-
15Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+1.30vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.38-4.76vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.74-7.13vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.50vs Predicted
-
19Columbia University0.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.93Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
6.22Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
6.96Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.1Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
8.16Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.41Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
14.08Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
15.44U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.32Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
-
16.3Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
-
11.24George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.87Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
17.09Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 21.3% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 21.7% | 13.3% |
| Colin Keil | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 31.3% |
| Ian Connors | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.