Race 7A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Asher Green 7.3% 9.4% 9.3% 11.0% 12.2% 14.1% 11.9% 9.4% 8.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Jonathan Kelly 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.5% 10.3% 14.7% 14.8% 15.8% 11.8%
Robert Ziman 8.6% 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 11.6% 12.7% 12.2% 10.5% 7.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Jack Welburn 31.8% 24.6% 19.1% 12.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Dilikoglu 5.5% 7.5% 7.0% 8.7% 10.7% 10.9% 12.3% 12.4% 10.2% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4%
Bryan Lawrence 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 11.0% 11.8% 13.2% 14.1% 12.4% 8.9%
Patrick Cashin 2.4% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 13.0% 15.2% 18.4% 13.7%
Iain Shand 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 10.2% 10.5% 11.2% 11.8% 13.2% 10.2% 7.5% 5.1% 2.1%
Luke Plecinoga 1.5% 1.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.8% 8.4% 13.9% 21.8% 30.5%
Pearce Bragaw 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 6.8% 9.9% 14.1% 18.1% 30.4%
Jedidiah Bechtel 14.0% 15.4% 15.2% 13.6% 13.7% 10.8% 7.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Weed 16.5% 17.4% 16.4% 13.8% 12.6% 9.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.