Race 8A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Welburn 33.1% 26.2% 15.1% 11.6% 8.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 16.1% 16.9% 16.7% 14.9% 12.2% 9.5% 6.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Can Dilikoglu 5.4% 6.2% 7.8% 9.1% 10.0% 11.5% 12.3% 13.2% 10.3% 8.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Iain Shand 4.6% 5.7% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 12.7% 10.8% 12.7% 11.3% 8.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Asher Green 8.0% 9.6% 11.1% 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 9.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Jedidiah Bechtel 14.3% 15.7% 15.2% 14.5% 13.9% 10.1% 7.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Bryan Lawrence 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 6.8% 9.2% 12.0% 14.7% 13.7% 15.4% 8.2%
Patrick Cashin 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 5.5% 7.1% 7.8% 9.6% 12.8% 16.0% 16.2% 14.2%
Jonathan Kelly 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 7.6% 8.3% 10.5% 12.0% 15.1% 16.6% 11.0%
Luke Plecinoga 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.5% 10.7% 13.4% 19.6% 30.9%
Pearce Bragaw 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 5.4% 7.5% 8.6% 14.1% 18.2% 30.9%
Robert Ziman 8.8% 8.3% 11.2% 11.3% 11.1% 12.0% 13.1% 10.5% 6.8% 4.8% 1.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.