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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+6.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+4.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+7.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+3.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-2.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.68vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-1.81vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-1.57vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-3.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.70vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.74+1.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.75vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.59-1.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.98vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.60vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy1.22-2.88vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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3.78Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.43Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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13.83Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.85Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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16.4Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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15.12U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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17.09Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 5.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 24.6% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Keil | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 30.2% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 12.3% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 22.2% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.