Race 9A

washington-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Welburn 32.6% 23.6% 18.6% 12.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Robert Ziman 8.4% 10.2% 11.0% 9.8% 13.2% 11.7% 11.7% 9.2% 7.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Asher Green 8.1% 8.0% 10.5% 12.4% 12.1% 12.3% 11.3% 10.4% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Jonathan Weed 15.8% 18.2% 16.7% 13.8% 11.9% 10.2% 6.6% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.6% 15.0% 14.9% 16.1% 13.6% 9.5% 8.3% 5.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Iain Shand 4.5% 6.3% 6.9% 8.4% 9.8% 11.1% 12.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 5.7% 2.4%
Bryan Lawrence 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 5.3% 7.2% 7.1% 8.9% 10.5% 13.1% 15.7% 13.4% 8.8%
Jonathan Kelly 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 6.9% 8.2% 11.3% 13.6% 14.1% 15.3% 12.8%
Pearce Bragaw 1.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.6% 5.9% 7.6% 9.1% 14.2% 18.3% 29.9%
Luke Plecinoga 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 4.0% 3.5% 5.1% 7.2% 9.2% 13.8% 20.2% 29.1%
Can Dilikoglu 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 12.8% 11.6% 13.0% 12.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.7%
Patrick Cashin 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.9% 12.2% 13.7% 18.1% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.