← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.68+8.18vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.78+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.49+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.52+2.10vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.16+2.29vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University3.36+0.51vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.52-0.87vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.55-5.27vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.74-0.22vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.59+3.04vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.05vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.08vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy1.22+1.20vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.74-1.60vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.38-4.84vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.90-7.74vs Predicted
-
18Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-1.50vs Predicted
-
19Columbia University0.23-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.06Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
7.06Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.1Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.29Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.51Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
7.13Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
3.73Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
9.78Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
14.04Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
-
15.2U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.4Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.16George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.26U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
16.5Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
-
17.11Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 23.4% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 5.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 12.6% |
| Colin Keil | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Ian Connors | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 29.3% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.