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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.85vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+2.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.66+2.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.11vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72-0.90vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.68+2.18vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.46-1.39vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.05-1.18vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.28-1.39vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.23-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.82-0.17vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.82-1.06vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-1.21-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85U. S. Naval Academy1.7829.7%1st Place
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4.81George Washington University0.7011.4%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy0.6610.0%1st Place
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6710.3%1st Place
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4.1Hampton University0.7212.8%1st Place
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8.18Washington College-0.682.7%1st Place
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5.61Princeton University0.469.3%1st Place
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6.82Drexel University-0.054.5%1st Place
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7.61Princeton University-0.283.4%1st Place
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9.62St. John's College-1.231.8%1st Place
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10.83University of Delaware-1.820.9%1st Place
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10.94Monmouth University-1.820.9%1st Place
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9.47Unknown School-1.212.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 29.7% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Hatt | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.8% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Elliott | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Kaleth Cushman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 12.3% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 35.0% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 23.4% | 34.0% |
| Clare Leeper | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.