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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+5.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+5.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55-0.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.62vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.61vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+7.07vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.03vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-2.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.74+2.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.57vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-1.93vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-5.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.03vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.64vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.23-0.66vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.52-12.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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3.78Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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14.07Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.38Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.56Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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14.97U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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16.36Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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17.34Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 21.1% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 11.6% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 29.5% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 46.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.