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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.66+3.10vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.99vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+0.07vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.70-0.11vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.28+1.51vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.05-0.11vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.68+0.38vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.46-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.82+1.01vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.21-1.47vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.08-2.60vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.82-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82U. S. Naval Academy1.7829.9%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy0.669.3%1st Place
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4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.2%1st Place
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4.07Hampton University0.7216.3%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University0.7011.2%1st Place
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7.51Princeton University-0.283.5%1st Place
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6.89Drexel University-0.055.1%1st Place
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8.38Washington College-0.682.6%1st Place
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5.67Princeton University0.467.8%1st Place
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11.01University of Delaware-1.820.8%1st Place
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9.53Unknown School-1.211.3%1st Place
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9.4St. John's College-1.081.9%1st Place
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10.75Monmouth University-1.821.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 29.9% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Hatt | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Kieran Elliott | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 36.9% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 11.1% |
| Henry Stockman | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 11.1% |
| Daniel Dickson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.