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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+5.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+5.15vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+7.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52+2.94vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+1.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.90+3.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.67vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-0.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16-0.86vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38+1.17vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-7.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-5.57vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.59+0.14vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.74-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-6.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.99vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-1.50vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.75Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.17George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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3.75Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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14.14Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.36Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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15.01U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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16.5Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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17.09Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Graham Landy | 22.3% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 5.4% |
| Colin Keil | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Michael Russom | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 29.4% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.