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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.87vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.51+4.98vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.70+0.91vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.28+2.44vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.66-1.98vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.68+0.12vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.05-2.14vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-1.82+0.38vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.38-1.29vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.46-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87U. S. Naval Academy1.7828.8%1st Place
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4.08Hampton University0.7215.8%1st Place
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7.98University of Delaware-0.512.5%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University0.7011.0%1st Place
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7.44Princeton University-0.283.2%1st Place
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6710.0%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy0.669.7%1st Place
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8.12Washington College-0.682.9%1st Place
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6.86Drexel University-0.055.2%1st Place
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10.38Monmouth University-1.821.1%1st Place
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9.71Unknown School-1.381.2%1st Place
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5.57Princeton University0.468.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 28.8% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Berson | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Hatt | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Kieran Elliott | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Dickson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 47.6% |
| Caroline Fortier | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 26.2% | 28.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.