Race 8B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sadie Creemer 5.4% 9.3% 11.5% 13.4% 13.6% 13.1% 12.4% 10.3% 8.0% 3.0%
JP Murphy 46.2% 27.9% 14.0% 6.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 15.8% 19.4% 18.9% 16.0% 11.6% 7.9% 5.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Austin Victer 6.2% 8.9% 11.2% 12.9% 13.2% 14.1% 13.0% 10.7% 7.1% 2.9%
Hans Scheyer 6.8% 8.4% 11.5% 12.8% 12.4% 12.6% 12.2% 12.0% 7.8% 3.4%
Ryan Tuttle 4.0% 5.9% 6.6% 8.2% 9.9% 10.8% 13.0% 14.4% 16.4% 10.9%
Spencer Patten 2.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 8.5% 10.9% 11.4% 14.0% 18.6% 16.9%
Chris Connor 4.3% 4.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.1% 11.3% 12.7% 14.2% 16.2% 14.3%
Aaron Heard 7.5% 9.2% 11.6% 11.2% 13.5% 12.7% 12.1% 10.6% 7.5% 4.0%
Kate Furman 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.1% 10.9% 17.0% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.