Race 5B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cho-Cho Williams 10.6% 11.2% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 12.6% 11.7% 9.2% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 29.8% 23.8% 16.4% 11.7% 8.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 7.2% 10.2% 10.2% 12.6% 11.4% 12.2% 12.2% 10.5% 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Tryg van Wyk 10.8% 11.6% 13.0% 13.4% 13.2% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Hartley Meyer 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 5.2% 6.4% 8.8% 11.4% 16.7% 19.4% 11.9% 5.2%
Stefano Palamara 16.6% 15.8% 16.8% 12.6% 11.9% 10.7% 7.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Kieran Elliott 4.0% 6.0% 6.5% 8.9% 8.0% 10.2% 12.8% 13.5% 14.2% 9.8% 4.5% 1.6%
Jonah Hatt 10.0% 10.4% 11.7% 12.6% 13.7% 13.2% 11.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Richard Kertatos 4.3% 3.5% 5.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.1% 11.2% 13.5% 15.4% 13.2% 8.5% 2.5%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 5.7% 7.8% 13.0% 24.8% 36.4%
Clare Leeper 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 9.3% 11.9% 19.2% 22.5% 14.5%
Evan Walter 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 4.9% 7.7% 13.0% 23.8% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.