Race 6B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanner Kelly 28.2% 22.1% 17.7% 13.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 11.3% 12.0% 13.0% 11.3% 11.2% 8.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 10.3% 12.0% 12.5% 13.2% 12.7% 11.1% 11.5% 7.9% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Kieran Elliott 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 10.0% 11.7% 13.2% 14.8% 9.8% 4.7% 1.4%
Hartley Meyer 3.1% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 13.2% 15.8% 17.1% 13.1% 4.7%
Richard Kertatos 3.1% 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.2% 9.6% 11.5% 13.7% 14.2% 14.3% 8.6% 2.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 11.1% 10.2% 12.6% 12.6% 12.0% 12.2% 10.8% 8.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonah Hatt 11.4% 11.5% 11.7% 12.2% 11.6% 12.8% 12.2% 7.6% 5.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Stefano Palamara 16.4% 17.2% 15.1% 12.9% 13.6% 10.0% 7.3% 4.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Dickson 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 5.8% 7.3% 12.9% 25.2% 36.2%
Evan Walter 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.3% 7.8% 13.1% 21.6% 42.1%
Clare Leeper 1.4% 2.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 6.3% 9.2% 12.1% 20.2% 23.1% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.