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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy1.22+14.01vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.63vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+6.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-1.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.780.00vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52-0.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.74+5.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38+2.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-4.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-4.94vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.52-9.21vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.64vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.59-4.04vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.23-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.01U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.61Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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3.86Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.0Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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13.62Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.08George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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16.36Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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13.96Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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17.03Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 20.5% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Ian Connors | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 29.8% |
| Domenic Re | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 6.7% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 21.5% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.