Race 7B

washington-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanner Kelly 30.3% 23.8% 17.2% 11.1% 8.2% 5.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.6% 12.6% 11.1% 11.6% 8.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 16.6% 15.6% 16.4% 14.5% 12.2% 10.3% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 10.2% 11.5% 11.3% 13.2% 12.8% 12.8% 10.2% 8.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Ossian Kamal 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 12.4% 13.8% 9.6% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 11.5% 10.9% 11.8% 13.4% 12.8% 12.7% 10.4% 8.0% 5.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Kieran Elliott 4.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.0% 9.7% 10.2% 12.2% 15.2% 12.2% 9.2% 5.4% 1.1%
David Berson 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 10.9% 10.4% 15.2% 14.9% 11.3% 4.9%
Caroline Fortier 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.8% 11.5% 16.2% 23.1% 24.6%
Robert Rubin 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 5.8% 7.5% 10.7% 17.5% 23.7% 21.1%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 2.8% 6.3% 7.8% 13.1% 19.5% 41.9%
Hartley Meyer 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.5% 7.2% 8.6% 13.8% 16.0% 16.4% 11.8% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.