Race 8B

washington-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanner Kelly 28.9% 22.9% 17.2% 13.6% 8.6% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 10.8% 13.3% 11.6% 10.5% 9.5% 5.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Hartley Meyer 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 3.9% 4.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.5% 15.3% 17.0% 13.8% 5.8%
Stefano Palamara 16.6% 16.6% 14.4% 16.4% 11.6% 10.2% 7.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Kieran Elliott 5.2% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 10.0% 9.3% 12.7% 12.6% 14.0% 9.2% 5.9% 1.4%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.8% 11.5% 12.8% 13.0% 12.2% 12.7% 10.4% 8.6% 5.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0%
David Berson 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 10.8% 12.2% 14.3% 15.5% 10.9% 5.1%
Ossian Kamal 8.0% 8.7% 10.5% 10.9% 11.9% 13.1% 12.5% 10.8% 7.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 11.3% 10.6% 12.8% 12.6% 13.4% 12.8% 9.8% 8.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Robert Rubin 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 7.7% 11.5% 16.8% 22.7% 22.4%
Caroline Fortier 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 4.9% 7.0% 10.8% 16.4% 22.9% 23.8%
Daniel Dickson 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 3.4% 3.9% 6.2% 7.6% 11.7% 20.2% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.