Race 9B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cho-Cho Williams 10.4% 10.1% 11.7% 13.3% 12.3% 12.5% 12.0% 7.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 14.8% 16.2% 15.6% 14.9% 12.2% 10.9% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 29.0% 24.8% 17.2% 11.7% 8.0% 5.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 11.1% 10.3% 11.6% 11.4% 12.5% 13.5% 10.5% 8.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 11.0% 11.8% 12.2% 12.4% 12.6% 13.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Ossian Kamal 8.4% 9.7% 11.1% 11.2% 11.6% 11.6% 12.0% 10.3% 7.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Kieran Elliott 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.0% 10.1% 12.7% 13.1% 12.7% 10.8% 5.3% 1.3%
Clare Leeper 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 3.8% 4.7% 6.0% 8.3% 11.7% 16.7% 20.3% 20.0%
David Berson 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 10.4% 12.8% 16.0% 15.3% 10.0% 5.5%
Hartley Meyer 3.0% 3.2% 5.1% 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 12.4% 15.1% 15.8% 13.2% 6.8%
Robert Rubin 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.1% 5.7% 7.0% 10.4% 15.9% 23.6% 23.6%
Daniel Dickson 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 7.3% 11.8% 22.6% 41.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.