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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+3.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+7.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+1.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+4.65vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.49vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+4.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44-3.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-2.40vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-3.16vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.40+3.84vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.44-7.20vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-4.76vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-3.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.12vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.02vs Predicted
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18Villanova University0.76-3.20vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.9Yale University3.800.2%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.89George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.89Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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15.84Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.03Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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17.02Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.8Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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17.96U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 27.1% | 24.6% | 7.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| James Gardner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 31.3% | 29.1% |
| William Joumas | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.