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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.78vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+1.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.07+1.04vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.47-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.82+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.80-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Washington0.8124.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University0.6719.4%1st Place
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4.04Western Washington University-0.079.6%1st Place
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3.28Western Washington University0.4718.7%1st Place
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5.01University of British Columbia-0.824.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Victoria0.8024.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 24.1% | 23.5% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.4% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Soren Althoff | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 21.6% |
| Kevin Hicks | 18.7% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 7.8% |
| Andy Hsiao | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 55.6% |
| Dale Whitmore | 24.0% | 26.6% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.