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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.80+0.77vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.23+0.75vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.10+0.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.86-2.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.64-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.43-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.6227.7%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington-1.398.8%1st Place
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3.77University of Victoria0.8016.4%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University0.238.8%1st Place
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5.58Unknown School-0.106.8%1st Place
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3.82Boston University0.8615.3%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University0.6412.3%1st Place
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6.11University of British Columbia-0.433.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 27.7% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
| Dale Whitmore | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% |
| Eloise Glickman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 23.7% |
| Benjamin Luu | 15.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Zach Thompson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.