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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+3.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+6.67vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.77+8.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+1.15vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+2.93vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-2.09vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44-1.78vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97+2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54-1.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.94-4.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.81vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+1.91vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.76-1.27vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.40-1.44vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.71-9.51vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.22Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.0Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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16.91Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.73Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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15.56Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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17.96U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Don Hause III | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 30.3% | 28.1% |
| William Joumas | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 3.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 23.5% | 21.4% | 8.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 23.6% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.