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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+8.05vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.95vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+4.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+1.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80-1.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-2.08vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.37vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+6.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.93vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.44-5.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.68vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-2.72vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-3.27vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.70-7.50vs Predicted
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17Villanova University0.76-2.29vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.78vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University3.800.2%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.44Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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5.87Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.28Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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14.71Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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17.22Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.97U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 17.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 21.6% | 7.2% |
| James Gardner | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Miller | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jay Spector | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Joumas | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 2.8% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 32.7% | 28.8% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 21.2% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.