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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.32+2.24vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+0.62vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.47-0.11vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.07-0.08vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.00+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.64-0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-2.20vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.82-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Washington0.8125.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Oregon0.3212.2%1st Place
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3.62Western Washington University0.6718.9%1st Place
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3.89Western Washington University0.4715.2%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University-0.079.7%1st Place
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6.96Oregon State University-1.002.9%1st Place
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6.06University of Victoria-0.645.5%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.476.4%1st Place
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6.43University of British Columbia-0.824.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 25.0% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Hicks | 15.2% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Soren Althoff | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 34.4% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| Marty Weigel | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.8% |
| Andy Hsiao | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.