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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.39+4.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.86+1.95vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+2.10vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.43+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.64-0.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.64-3.48vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.46-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Washington-1.398.6%1st Place
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3.95Boston University0.8616.6%1st Place
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5.1Western Washington University0.239.6%1st Place
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2.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.6227.9%1st Place
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5.27University of Oregon0.117.3%1st Place
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6.51University of British Columbia-0.434.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Victoria-0.643.3%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.6411.8%1st Place
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4.65Oregon State University0.4610.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Emily Smith | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.0% |
Benjamin Luu | 16.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Kira Blumhagen | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 6.9% |
Clay Myers | 27.9% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Emily Avey | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% |
Zach Thompson | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 21.3% | 25.7% |
Maclain Walsworth | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 38.0% |
Tyler Nolasco | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
Nikolo Vo | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.