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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+7.48vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+1.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+2.80vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44-0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.81vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-1.86vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58-0.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+0.98vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-0.57+6.02vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.44vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-3.48vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.76vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.40-1.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.15-0.11vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.79-14.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.91Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.98Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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17.02Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.52George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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16.76Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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15.22Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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17.89U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University3.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Heid | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 22.1% | 30.2% | 24.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 27.6% | 18.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 23.0% | 22.9% | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 50.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.