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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.69+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.82+3.30vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.37+0.60vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.18+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.68+1.53vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-1.96+0.77vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.31-1.69vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-1.95-1.22vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.67-0.88vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.23-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Unknown School0.6943.5%1st Place
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5.3University of Oregon-0.827.1%1st Place
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3.6Western Washington University-0.3714.8%1st Place
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5.26Oregon State University-1.187.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Oregon-1.683.4%1st Place
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6.77Gonzaga University-1.964.4%1st Place
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5.31Oregon State University-1.316.5%1st Place
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6.78Gonzaga University-1.953.9%1st Place
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8.12Gonzaga University-2.671.6%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University-1.237.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JP Murphy | 43.5% | 27.3% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sadie Creemer | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
Sofia Brown Patrico | 14.8% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Austin Victer | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
Ryan Tuttle | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% |
Spencer Patten | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
Aaron Heard | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
Chris Connor | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
Kate Furman | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 42.8% |
Hans Scheyer | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.