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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
JP Murphy 43.5% 27.3% 15.7% 8.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sadie Creemer 7.1% 8.2% 10.8% 13.1% 13.1% 13.9% 12.3% 10.2% 8.1% 3.2%
Sofia Brown Patrico 14.8% 20.2% 19.0% 14.8% 13.4% 8.4% 5.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Austin Victer 7.1% 8.6% 11.4% 13.7% 13.7% 11.7% 12.0% 10.6% 7.9% 3.5%
Ryan Tuttle 3.4% 5.1% 6.7% 7.6% 10.4% 11.7% 12.8% 15.0% 15.5% 11.8%
Spencer Patten 4.4% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.5% 9.6% 12.4% 14.8% 16.7% 16.7%
Aaron Heard 6.5% 9.4% 11.2% 11.7% 12.4% 14.5% 11.7% 11.5% 7.5% 3.5%
Chris Connor 3.9% 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 8.1% 10.8% 12.8% 13.9% 17.7% 15.6%
Kate Furman 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 5.7% 5.2% 8.5% 10.3% 16.9% 42.8%
Hans Scheyer 7.6% 9.0% 10.9% 13.2% 12.2% 12.8% 12.0% 10.8% 8.6% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.