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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+4.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+5.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+0.78vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.82vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44-1.90vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-4.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.70-1.64vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.77+0.69vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.94-5.62vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-2.89vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-0.57+1.91vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-4.34vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.40-2.61vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.78Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.1Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.790.2%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.38Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.11Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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16.91Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.78Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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15.39Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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17.7U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Heid | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 22.0% | 27.2% | 26.8% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 25.0% | 29.0% | 19.1% |
| James Gardner | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 24.9% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.