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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+3.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+6.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+4.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.07vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79-1.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70+1.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.59vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-3.20vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-2.31vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+0.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.11vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-1.48vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-4.89vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-0.57+1.88vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.44-10.25vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.40-1.76vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.13vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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4.83Harvard University3.790.2%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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11.02Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.52George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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16.88Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.75Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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15.24Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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16.87Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.7U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 29.3% | 25.2% |
| Peter Miller | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 20.7% | 24.0% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 27.3% | 21.0% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.