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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.96+2.01vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.36+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+0.67vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.32+0.27vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.03-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.01+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.18-2.52vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.31-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of British Columbia0.9625.4%1st Place
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4.11Western Washington University0.3613.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Washington0.7417.5%1st Place
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4.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.3212.2%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.039.6%1st Place
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6.47University of Victoria-1.013.8%1st Place
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4.48University of Washington0.1811.6%1st Place
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5.25Unknown School-0.316.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Fretenburg | 25.4% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.5% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Etienne Quille | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| Guillaume Claude | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 47.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 7.5% |
| Alexx Johnson | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.