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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.44+4.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+7.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+1.89vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.86vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+4.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.42vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94+0.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.22vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+1.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-6.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.70-4.56vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.44-7.99vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.76-0.35vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.77-4.25vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.40-1.42vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.83vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.89Yale University3.800.2%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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11.12Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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14.65Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.75George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.58Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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17.17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.95U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 15.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Gardner | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 14.2% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Joumas | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 4.7% |
| Jay Spector | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 22.7% | 8.2% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 32.4% | 27.9% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 21.8% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.