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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.22-0.06vs Predicted
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3American University0.05+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.47-0.21vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.93vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Virginia Tech0.7326.4%1st Place
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1.94University of Virginia1.2244.0%1st Place
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3.23American University0.0513.9%1st Place
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3.79University of Virginia-0.478.8%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.675.7%1st Place
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5.57Catholic University of America-2.451.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 26.4% | 31.8% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 44.0% | 29.2% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 13.9% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 25.1% | 16.2% | 3.1% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 30.2% | 7.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 37.1% | 10.4% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.