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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.22+0.97vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.36vs Predicted
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3American University0.05+0.21vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.47-1.24vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Virginia1.2241.9%1st Place
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2.36Virginia Tech0.7328.1%1st Place
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3.21American University0.0513.6%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.676.7%1st Place
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3.76University of Virginia-0.478.6%1st Place
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5.63Catholic University of America-2.451.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 41.9% | 30.9% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Young | 28.1% | 30.4% | 23.6% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 13.6% | 17.2% | 24.6% | 25.8% | 16.5% | 2.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 36.1% | 11.4% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 8.6% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 29.5% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 11.9% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.