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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.47+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.22-1.17vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67-0.24vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.45+0.53vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Virginia Tech0.7331.8%1st Place
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3.56University of Virginia-0.478.9%1st Place
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1.83University of Virginia1.2244.9%1st Place
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3.76William and Mary-0.677.5%1st Place
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5.53Catholic University of America-2.451.4%1st Place
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4.16American University-1.015.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 31.8% | 34.2% | 22.1% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 8.9% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 28.4% | 21.8% | 4.7% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 44.9% | 33.9% | 15.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.5% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 27.4% | 25.9% | 7.6% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 74.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.5% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 24.1% | 35.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.