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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+4.08vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+6.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+1.33vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+3.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.83vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+0.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.44-4.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.70-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-5.75vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.76-1.13vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.15+0.12vs Predicted
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19George Washington University1.77-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.800.2%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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15.61Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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14.87Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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17.12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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18.12U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.77George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Don Hause III | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 7.9% |
| William Joumas | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 27.3% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 9.3% | 23.2% | 59.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.