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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.22-0.17vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.47-0.44vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.80vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Virginia Tech0.7331.3%1st Place
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1.83University of Virginia1.2246.0%1st Place
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3.75William and Mary-0.677.8%1st Place
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3.56University of Virginia-0.478.8%1st Place
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4.2American University-1.014.8%1st Place
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5.5Catholic University of America-2.451.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 31.3% | 35.1% | 22.6% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 46.0% | 32.2% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.8% | 10.1% | 20.6% | 29.2% | 24.9% | 7.2% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 8.8% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 28.4% | 21.5% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.8% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 37.0% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.