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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.22+1.01vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+1.35vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.54vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Virginia1.2241.8%1st Place
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3.35American University0.0511.9%1st Place
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2.46Virginia Tech0.7326.8%1st Place
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4.13William and Mary-0.676.3%1st Place
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3.41University of Virginia-0.0311.7%1st Place
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5.64Catholic University of America-2.451.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 41.8% | 28.9% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 26.4% | 20.2% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Young | 26.8% | 28.9% | 23.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 41.1% | 10.7% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 11.7% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 26.4% | 21.8% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.