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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.22+1.00vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+1.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.03-0.61vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.87vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Virginia1.2242.1%1st Place
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3.34American University0.0513.7%1st Place
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2.51Virginia Tech0.7325.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Virginia-0.0311.6%1st Place
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4.13William and Mary-0.676.8%1st Place
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5.63Catholic University of America-2.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 42.1% | 28.6% | 19.0% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 13.7% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 26.5% | 20.8% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Young | 25.1% | 29.1% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 11.6% | 15.7% | 22.6% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 4.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 42.0% | 10.5% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.