← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.80+3.99vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.44+4.16vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.85+5.26vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.79+0.97vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.94+3.00vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.70+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.44-1.70vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.54+0.11vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.77+1.83vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-2.89vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.74-3.17vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.16vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.82vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.04vs Predicted
-
16Villanova University-0.57+1.11vs Predicted
-
17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.18vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University0.40-2.51vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Military Academy-1.15-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.99Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
6.16Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.26Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
4.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.0Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.73Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
-
6.3Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.11Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
11.83George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.83Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
12.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
-
7.18University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
17.11Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
16.82Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
-
15.49Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
17.7U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 30.6% | 25.1% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 24.4% | 26.9% | 21.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 26.9% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 6.3% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.