Race 10B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sadie Creemer 6.7% 10.2% 11.8% 13.5% 12.0% 11.7% 13.1% 9.9% 7.4% 3.6%
Ryan Tuttle 3.2% 5.5% 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 10.4% 13.1% 13.9% 16.2% 12.1%
JP Murphy 45.5% 28.1% 14.6% 7.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Victer 6.9% 7.8% 11.6% 14.5% 16.2% 13.9% 10.5% 8.8% 6.9% 3.0%
Aaron Heard 6.0% 9.3% 10.4% 11.9% 12.8% 13.8% 13.3% 10.9% 7.8% 3.9%
Hans Scheyer 7.0% 8.6% 11.5% 12.8% 12.8% 14.4% 12.6% 9.8% 7.4% 3.2%
Chris Connor 4.2% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 9.0% 10.4% 11.9% 15.8% 18.4% 14.3%
Sofia Brown Patrico 16.0% 20.4% 18.6% 16.7% 11.2% 8.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Spencer Patten 3.0% 3.6% 5.5% 6.3% 8.2% 10.1% 13.1% 16.2% 19.1% 14.9%
Kate Furman 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 5.5% 7.2% 11.9% 16.0% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.