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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+4.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+2.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+3.02vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70+2.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.93vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-2.99vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.98vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.37vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-1.26vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-5.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-2.19vs Predicted
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16Villanova University-0.57+1.08vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.15-0.09vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.40-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.09Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.74George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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17.08Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.79Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.91U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.2Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Heid | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 22.5% | 31.7% | 23.6% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 13.4% | 23.7% | 27.0% | 20.6% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 50.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 27.1% | 21.9% | 12.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.