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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.03+0.79vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.34-0.84vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.98vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Virginia Tech0.7345.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Virginia-0.0320.2%1st Place
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3.64William and Mary-0.679.4%1st Place
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3.16University of Virginia-0.3415.8%1st Place
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4.02American University-1.017.7%1st Place
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5.46Catholic University of America-2.451.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 45.1% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 20.2% | 25.1% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.4% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 25.6% | 26.2% | 6.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 15.8% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 33.8% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.