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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+7.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+5.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+0.98vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.44+1.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80-1.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70+1.72vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-1.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-1.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.01vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.43vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-1.31vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-5.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.05vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+0.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.15+0.87vs Predicted
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18Villanova University-0.57-0.88vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.40-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.25Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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16.81Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.87U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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17.12Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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15.21Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 25.2% | 29.6% | 18.6% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 22.0% | 52.3% |
| Alex Heid | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 22.3% | 30.5% | 23.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 26.6% | 21.7% | 13.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.