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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.78+2.71vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+0.98vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.69-0.41vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27-0.63vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.04-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Virginia-0.7813.4%1st Place
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2.98William and Mary-0.1820.9%1st Place
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3.81American University-0.9112.8%1st Place
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3.59University of Virginia-0.6914.0%1st Place
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4.37Catholic University of America-1.277.9%1st Place
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2.53Virginia Tech0.0431.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 13.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 18.8% |
| Sam Dutilly | 20.9% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Anika Liner | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| Patrick McBride | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 14.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 36.6% |
| Brock Diaz | 31.1% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.