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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.71+7.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+2.99vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+4.75vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.25vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+3.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.04vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+0.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-4.09vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58-0.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.24vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-1.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.44-7.77vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-0.57+1.95vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.94-8.27vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.15-0.12vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.40-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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4.99Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.16Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.17Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University3.790.2%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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16.95Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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16.8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.88U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.2Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Corbishley | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jay Spector | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 22.4% | 28.3% | 25.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 28.5% | 20.7% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 25.2% | 48.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 25.2% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.