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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.04+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.78+1.73vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+0.04vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.69-1.51vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Virginia Tech0.0429.7%1st Place
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3.73University of Virginia-0.7811.8%1st Place
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3.04William and Mary-0.1822.4%1st Place
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3.8American University-0.9112.3%1st Place
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3.49University of Virginia-0.6915.5%1st Place
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4.36Catholic University of America-1.278.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 29.7% | 25.4% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| Sam Dutilly | 22.4% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Anika Liner | 12.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| Patrick McBride | 15.5% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 14.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.