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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+3.95vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.44+4.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+6.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+0.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-0.88vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.48vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-0.99vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-2.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.24vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77-1.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.93vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-7.11vs Predicted
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16Villanova University-0.57+1.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.15+0.86vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.40-2.52vs Predicted
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19Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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13.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.66George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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17.06Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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17.86U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.48Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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16.65Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Jay Spector | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 21.2% | 31.4% | 24.3% |
| Blair Stewart | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 53.1% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 12.7% | 25.6% | 28.0% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.