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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.78+2.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+0.93vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.04-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.69-0.63vs Predicted
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5American University-1.62-0.35vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Virginia-0.7815.7%1st Place
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2.93William and Mary-0.1821.6%1st Place
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2.4Virginia Tech0.0431.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Virginia-0.6916.2%1st Place
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4.65American University-1.626.3%1st Place
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4.21Catholic University of America-1.278.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 15.7% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 11.2% |
| Sam Dutilly | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 31.4% | 27.5% | 21.2% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Patrick McBride | 16.2% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Juros | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 43.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 24.6% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.