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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.78+2.54vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+0.85vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.04-0.56vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+0.17vs Predicted
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5American University-1.62-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.69-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Virginia-0.7813.9%1st Place
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2.85William and Mary-0.1823.2%1st Place
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2.44Virginia Tech0.0431.8%1st Place
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4.17Catholic University of America-1.278.9%1st Place
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4.64American University-1.625.5%1st Place
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3.36University of Virginia-0.6916.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 13.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 14.2% |
| Sam Dutilly | 23.2% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 31.8% | 26.2% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
| Jacob Juros | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 42.8% |
| Patrick McBride | 16.8% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.