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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.89+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79+4.04vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+5.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.79+9.75vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-0.79vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.36-0.26vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.24vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.52+0.29vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.41vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.02-3.86vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.83-7.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.08-0.66vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.10-10.35vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine1.35-7.95vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley2.12-13.12vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-0.43-4.62vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.41-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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9.28California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.74Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.76California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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11.59California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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11.59California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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12.63Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.87University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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18.34University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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19.38California State University Monterey Bay-0.430.0%1st Place
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17.04California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.