← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.78+2.72vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.18+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.04-0.51vs Predicted
-
4American University-0.91-0.17vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.72-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-1.27-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72University of Virginia-0.7812.1%1st Place
-
3.04William and Mary-0.1821.1%1st Place
-
2.49Virginia Tech0.0432.1%1st Place
-
3.83American University-0.9112.2%1st Place
-
3.52University of Virginia-0.7214.8%1st Place
-
4.41Catholic University of America-1.277.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| Sam Dutilly | 21.1% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 32.1% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Anika Liner | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 21.6% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 14.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 13.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.