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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.91+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.78+1.75vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+0.08vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.04-1.46vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.72-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85American University-0.9111.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Virginia-0.7812.7%1st Place
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3.08William and Mary-0.1820.7%1st Place
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2.54Virginia Tech0.0430.0%1st Place
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4.33Catholic University of America-1.278.6%1st Place
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3.44University of Virginia-0.7216.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anika Liner | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 20.3% |
| Mason Chapman | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| Sam Dutilly | 20.7% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Brock Diaz | 30.0% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 34.4% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 16.7% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.