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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.04+0.77vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+0.33vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.72-1.34vs Predicted
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6American University-1.62-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Virginia0.7945.0%1st Place
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2.77Virginia Tech0.0420.8%1st Place
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3.33William and Mary-0.1813.4%1st Place
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4.46Catholic University of America-1.275.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Virginia-0.7211.5%1st Place
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4.84American University-1.624.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 45.0% | 29.5% | 15.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brock Diaz | 20.8% | 26.5% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.4% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 16.1% | 7.4% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 27.8% | 30.4% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 12.6% |
| Jacob Juros | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.