Race 11B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sadie Creemer 7.4% 9.8% 11.6% 11.8% 12.4% 13.5% 13.1% 9.7% 7.4% 3.3%
Hans Scheyer 6.9% 9.6% 11.8% 13.1% 12.8% 14.1% 10.9% 10.3% 7.0% 3.5%
Sofia Brown Patrico 15.2% 18.1% 19.2% 16.7% 13.2% 8.1% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
JP Murphy 45.5% 27.6% 14.7% 7.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Tuttle 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 13.4% 14.2% 16.4% 11.1%
Austin Victer 6.8% 9.1% 11.5% 11.6% 13.7% 13.7% 12.8% 10.8% 7.1% 2.9%
Aaron Heard 6.3% 8.8% 10.8% 12.5% 12.2% 14.1% 13.0% 10.9% 8.3% 3.1%
Kate Furman 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 6.7% 10.8% 16.5% 44.6%
Spencer Patten 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 10.2% 12.1% 15.1% 19.4% 14.8%
Chris Connor 2.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 9.5% 9.2% 12.8% 14.9% 16.8% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.