← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+7.64vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego2.89+3.56vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington2.79+1.84vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.83+5.05vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University1.51+4.35vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.02+1.34vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.35+3.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California2.64-3.71vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-2.92vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.37vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University2.36-5.40vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.79+0.95vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.52-3.14vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.60vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington2.10-8.06vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-6.00vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Berkeley2.12-11.46vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Irvine0.08-3.77vs Predicted
-
23California State University Monterey Bay-0.43-3.63vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay0.41-6.91vs Predicted
-
25California State University Monterey Bay1.69-13.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.96California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.56University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
-
11.05University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
12.35Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.34Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
-
13.31University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.29University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.08California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.63California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.6Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
-
15.95University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.86University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
15.4University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
-
9.94University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
18.23University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
19.37California State University Monterey Bay-0.430.0%1st Place
-
17.09California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
-
11.63California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.