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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.84vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+7.16vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+2.47vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.02+4.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego2.89-0.76vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.47vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.36-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+2.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.19vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University1.51-1.25vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.61vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles1.83-5.90vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.93-3.55vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.69-7.78vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California1.52-8.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles0.83-6.43vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley0.79-6.96vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay0.41-6.82vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.43-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.9California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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10.27Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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9.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.71Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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12.75Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.22California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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12.22California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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17.18California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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19.64California State University Monterey Bay-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 51.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.