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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.19+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego2.19+1.49vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+3.52vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.71+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40+0.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+3.51vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63-2.31vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.84vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.16+1.72vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.44-0.64vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.63-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.70vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.50-3.94vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.87-6.47vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.42-5.44vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.36-6.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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9.52Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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8.69California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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13.84California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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13.36Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.69California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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13.06California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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13.67California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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17.55University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Vilicich | 21.7% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.