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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.32+2.03vs Predicted
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3Texas Christian University-1.36+2.12vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.20-0.71vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45-1.99vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.15-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Texas1.6554.4%1st Place
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4.03University of Texas-0.327.0%1st Place
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5.12Texas Christian University-1.362.5%1st Place
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3.29Texas A&M University0.2012.5%1st Place
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3.01Northwestern University0.4515.8%1st Place
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3.86University of North Texas-0.157.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 54.4% | 28.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Norman | 7.0% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 30.1% | 16.4% |
| Luella Madison | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 58.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 12.5% | 19.4% | 24.3% | 21.7% | 15.3% | 6.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 15.8% | 23.1% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Snyder | 7.9% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 23.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.