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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.17+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+8.45vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.70vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.10vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.44+3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-5.40vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.71-3.64vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-1.65vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.37vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.50vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.52vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California0.42-6.61vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.50-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.2%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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8.7California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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9.72Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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13.45Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.7California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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13.63California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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13.5California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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17.48University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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13.27California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Vilicich | 22.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 47.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.