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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.40+8.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+4.44vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+0.76vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.71+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.03vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.04vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.19-0.64vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.87+2.05vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.44+2.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.17-4.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-7.72vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-2.07vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.36-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.42-4.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.18vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-5.43vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.63-11.37vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.36-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.2%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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13.04California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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8.63California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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12.87Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.32Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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13.1California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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8.63California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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13.1California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 22.3% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 46.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.