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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+0.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.26+0.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82-1.84vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51U. S. Naval Academy2.6028.9%1st Place
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2.54Georgetown University2.4228.3%1st Place
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3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7910.0%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.269.6%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.8217.5%1st Place
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4.81Christopher Newport University0.735.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.9% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 28.3% | 26.3% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 17.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 21.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 17.5% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.