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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
JP Murphy 45.0% 26.8% 15.2% 8.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Victer 7.2% 9.0% 10.9% 14.1% 13.7% 14.0% 12.8% 9.2% 5.9% 3.0%
Sadie Creemer 7.3% 8.8% 11.5% 12.9% 13.3% 12.2% 11.8% 10.2% 8.1% 4.0%
Hans Scheyer 5.8% 9.4% 10.3% 12.1% 13.5% 13.5% 13.7% 11.5% 7.2% 3.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 16.8% 19.6% 19.8% 15.3% 11.8% 7.9% 4.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Tuttle 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 7.8% 10.1% 10.2% 13.8% 13.9% 16.4% 11.5%
Aaron Heard 5.9% 9.4% 10.4% 12.6% 12.8% 13.2% 11.5% 12.0% 7.8% 4.5%
Kate Furman 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 7.5% 11.5% 16.8% 41.9%
Spencer Patten 2.7% 4.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.9% 10.5% 11.7% 14.4% 19.6% 16.2%
Chris Connor 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 6.7% 9.2% 10.9% 12.2% 14.1% 17.5% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.