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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.69+1.03vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-1.18+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.82+2.27vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.23+1.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.37-1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.68+0.49vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.31-1.59vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-2.67+0.08vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-1.96-2.07vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-1.95-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Unknown School0.6945.0%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University-1.187.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Oregon-0.827.3%1st Place
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5.35Western Washington University-1.235.8%1st Place
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3.5Western Washington University-0.3716.8%1st Place
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6.49University of Oregon-1.684.1%1st Place
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5.41Oregon State University-1.315.9%1st Place
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8.08Gonzaga University-2.671.7%1st Place
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6.93Gonzaga University-1.962.7%1st Place
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6.8Gonzaga University-1.953.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JP Murphy | 45.0% | 26.8% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Austin Victer | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
Sadie Creemer | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
Hans Scheyer | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Sofia Brown Patrico | 16.8% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Ryan Tuttle | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
Aaron Heard | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
Kate Furman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 41.9% |
Spencer Patten | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
Chris Connor | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.