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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+4.37vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+6.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.40+5.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.19+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.87+5.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+6.09vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.71+0.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.17-3.71vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.42+1.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.86+3.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.98vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-9.57vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-7.64vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.85vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-4.19vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.84vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.44-7.51vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.36-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.2%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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9.24Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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8.24Stanford University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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8.36California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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16.57University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.36California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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13.16California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.49Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Vilicich | 22.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 49.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.