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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.19+2.19vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+3.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.40+3.18vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.71+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-2.88vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.41+4.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.71-2.07vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.42+1.33vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.41+0.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-1.79vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.44-3.02vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-2.95vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay0.36-4.81vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.50-6.10vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.74vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley0.87-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.2%1st Place
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6.14University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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8.93Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.1California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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13.37California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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13.1California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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13.19California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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12.9California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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17.26University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Vilicich | 23.8% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.