Race 1A

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John McGlynn 12.1% 13.5% 11.8% 12.6% 12.7% 11.1% 10.7% 8.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5%
John Silvestri 10.4% 10.6% 10.8% 10.9% 11.9% 10.5% 10.8% 11.2% 8.5% 3.5% 0.9%
Cole Rice 10.1% 10.0% 9.9% 13.2% 9.6% 11.8% 11.0% 11.8% 7.8% 4.2% 0.6%
Alexandra Romagnoli 7.7% 8.3% 8.4% 10.1% 9.5% 11.5% 12.5% 12.1% 10.9% 7.6% 1.4%
Ryan Schmitz 16.4% 13.8% 14.1% 12.6% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 6.3% 3.7% 2.9% 0.1%
James Barry 17.9% 18.2% 15.4% 11.8% 10.4% 9.0% 7.6% 4.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 3.7% 3.4% 2.6% 4.4% 4.2% 6.6% 6.6% 10.2% 16.0% 31.1% 11.2%
Mackenzie Needham 8.5% 8.2% 10.6% 9.9% 12.7% 8.7% 9.8% 11.6% 11.6% 7.4% 1.0%
Jesse Thomas 8.7% 9.8% 10.5% 9.5% 11.7% 11.2% 10.6% 10.3% 10.0% 5.4% 2.3%
Andrew McHenry 3.9% 3.7% 5.3% 4.2% 6.5% 7.1% 8.7% 10.6% 17.4% 24.5% 8.1%
Michelle Guidotti 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 5.3% 10.4% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.