Race 2A

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Schmitz 12.5% 15.2% 14.1% 13.2% 11.3% 10.7% 9.8% 7.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2%
John McGlynn 14.0% 12.8% 14.1% 11.5% 11.3% 10.6% 8.2% 9.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Cole Rice 10.8% 9.4% 10.0% 12.0% 10.4% 11.8% 11.8% 10.3% 8.9% 3.9% 0.7%
James Barry 17.4% 16.1% 13.5% 15.2% 10.8% 10.0% 7.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Alexandra Romagnoli 9.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 11.3% 9.9% 10.4% 12.7% 9.6% 8.0% 1.5%
John Silvestri 10.0% 11.3% 10.8% 10.1% 11.5% 11.4% 10.1% 9.0% 10.8% 4.3% 0.7%
Mackenzie Needham 9.3% 8.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.0% 12.7% 9.7% 11.1% 6.5% 1.4%
Karl Ryder 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 8.9% 16.2% 30.7% 12.3%
Jesse Thomas 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 10.4% 9.4% 11.3% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Andrew McHenry 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 4.3% 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 11.8% 16.7% 24.7% 7.9%
Michelle Guidotti 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 3.2% 4.8% 11.3% 73.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.